SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Galway United win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Galway United |
47.9% ( -0.14) | 25.66% ( -0.03) | 26.44% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.71% ( 0.24) | 52.28% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( 0.21) | 73.98% ( -0.21) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.04) | 21.83% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( 0.06) | 55.06% ( -0.05) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.28) | 34.62% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( 0.29) | 71.34% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.9% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.44% |
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