SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
44.17% ( -0.11) | 26.09% ( 0.04) | 29.75% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.87% ( -0.11) | 52.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.15% ( -0.09) | 73.85% ( 0.09) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -0.1) | 23.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.48% ( -0.15) | 57.52% ( 0.15) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0) | 31.98% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( 0.01) | 68.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.75% |
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