SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Galway United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Galway United | Draw | Shelbourne |
47.51% ( 0.07) | 26.28% ( 0.07) | 26.21% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( -0.35) | 54.8% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( -0.29) | 76.11% ( 0.29) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( -0.12) | 23.07% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% ( -0.17) | 56.91% ( 0.18) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.3) | 36.17% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -0.31) | 72.95% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galway United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 26.21% |
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