Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
