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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 8
Apr 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Richmond Park

St Patrick's
3 - 0
Longford Town

Coughlin (47'), Forrester (52', 90+1')
Bone (45'), Desmond (66'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bolger (65'), McCabe (86')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Longford Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawLongford Town
53.89%27.06%19.05%
Both teams to score 39.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.75%63.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.35%82.65%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15%23.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96%58.04%
Longford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.82%48.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63%83.37%
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 53.88%
    Longford Town 19.05%
    Draw 27.05%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawLongford Town
1-0 @ 16.47%
2-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 8.62%
3-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 4.12%
4-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.5%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 53.88%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.05%

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