SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | Galway United |
34.83% ( -0.01) | 27.31% ( 0.01) | 37.86% |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% ( -0.04) | 55.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( -0.04) | 76.82% ( 0.03) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( -0.03) | 30.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( -0.04) | 66.5% ( 0.03) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.02) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.85% |
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