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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 30
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
D

Waterford
2 - 1
Dundalk

Bellis (5'), Amond (16')
McCormack (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gullan (76')
Kenny (30'), Benson (53'), Dervin (54')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Waterford
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawDundalk
50.13% (-0.291 -0.29) 24.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 25.33% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46% (-0.052 -0.05)48.54% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)70.66% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.62% (-0.136 -0.14)19.38% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.81% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)51.18% (0.221 0.22)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.16499999999999 0.16)33.52% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.18 0.18)70.16% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 50.13%
    Dundalk 25.33%
    Draw 24.54%
Waterford UnitedDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.13%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.5% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Waterford
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Derry
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 Waterford
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 1-2 Shamrock
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 2-0 Waterford
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 1-0 Waterford
Friday, July 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-1 Shelbourne
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-2 Galway United
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, July 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 4-2 Drogheda
Friday, July 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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