SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Waterford United | Draw | Dundalk |
50.13% ( -0.29) | 24.54% ( 0.06) | 25.33% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( -0.05) | 48.54% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( -0.05) | 70.66% ( 0.05) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.14) | 19.38% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( -0.22) | 51.18% ( 0.22) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.16) | 33.52% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( 0.18) | 70.16% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Waterford United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.13% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.33% |
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