SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Galway United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Galway United | Draw | Shelbourne |
50.72% ( 1.01) | 28.08% ( -0.41) | 21.21% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 39.73% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.6% ( 0.74) | 64.4% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( 0.52) | 83.47% ( -0.52) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( 0.83) | 25.82% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.21% ( 1.11) | 60.78% ( -1.11) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0.19) | 46.44% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.94% ( -0.15) | 82.06% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galway United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.87% Total : 50.71% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.58% Total : 21.21% |
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