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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Waterford United |
49.44% ( 1.8) | 24.76% ( -0.52) | 25.8% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 1.22) | 49.09% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 1.1) | 71.16% ( -1.1) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 1.25) | 19.88% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48% ( 1.99) | 52% ( -1.99) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -0.38) | 33.43% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -0.42) | 70.06% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.8% |
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