Rochdale
3 - 1
Accrington

Keohane (10'), Beesley (66'), Shaughnessy (90+1')
McLaughlin (29'), Beesley (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barclay (13')
Smyth (22'), Barclay (46'), Burgess (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the League One clash between Rochdale and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
37.53%	27.5%	34.97%

Both teams to score 49.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61%

56.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6%

77.4%

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99%

29.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09%

64.91%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42%

30.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19%

66.81%

Score Analysis

Rochdale 37.52%

Accrington Stanley 34.96%

Draw 27.49%

Rochdale	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.52%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 7.71% 0-2 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.25% Total : 34.96%