Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
