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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
AS

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Accrington

Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 14.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
65.19%20.37%14.44%
Both teams to score 48.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18%45.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.86%68.14%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.95%40.05%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.27%43.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09%79.91%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 65.18%
    Accrington Stanley 14.44%
    Draw 20.37%
Oxford UnitedDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 11.83%
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 4.03%
4-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.73%
5-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.38%
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 65.18%
1-1 @ 9.69%
0-0 @ 5.8%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.8%
1-2 @ 4.01%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.12%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.44%

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