Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
