Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
