Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
