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League One | Gameweek 38
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
IL

Barnsley
0 - 3
Ipswich


Russell (25'), Cole (64'), Benson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Broadhead (44'), Hirst (45+2'), Chaplin (81')
Hirst (9'), Morsy (80'), Walton (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Ipswich Town

Since losing to Bolton Wanderers on January 2, Barnsley have recorded nine consecutive home victories, but we think that they will have to be content with a draw when they face an Ipswich side that are unbeaten in 16 league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawIpswich Town
29.31% (0.488 0.49) 26.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 44.29% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.87% (0.447 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.439 0.44)53.53% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.369 0.37)75.05% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.601 0.6)33.02% (-0.599 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.38% (0.659 0.66)69.61% (-0.658 -0.66)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)24.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)58.31% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 29.32%
    Ipswich Town 44.29%
    Draw 26.38%
BarnsleyDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.95% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 29.32%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.07% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-5 Barnsley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Barnsley
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Ipswich
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Charlton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 4-0 Wycombe
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One


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