Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
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