Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.72%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
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