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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
24.87% ( 0.06) | 23.37% ( 0.01) | 51.76% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.95% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% ( -0) | 43.87% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.74% ( -0) | 66.26% ( 0) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 0.04) | 31.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.24% ( 0.05) | 67.76% ( -0.05) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( -0.03) | 16.98% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.05) | 47.1% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 24.87% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.76% |
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