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FA Cup | Second Round Replays
Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
S

Port Vale
3 - 3
Stevenage

Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties
Garrity (6', 55'), Loft (114')
Iacovitti (69'), Ripley (90'), Garrity (106')
FT
(aet)
White (81'), Hemmings (90+6'), Thompson (119')
Thompson (50'), Thompson (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

We say: Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage

Stevenage will be in a confident mood after extending their unbeaten run at the weekend, and we think that they will follow up Saturday's narrow victory with another away win in Tuesday's cup tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
Port ValeDrawStevenage
34.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.56% (0.0030000000000001 0) 38.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)56.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)77.65% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.69% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)64.51% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.13%
    Stevenage 38.31%
    Draw 27.55%
Port ValeDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57%
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.13%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 38.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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