Following a woeful start to the season under Brown, Fleetwood have enjoyed a marked improvement in recent matches, but the visit of Stevenage will be their toughest test in a while.
Boro are displaying attacking quality and defensive solidity in equal measure so far this term, and we are expecting Evans's side to record another maximum this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.06) 
