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FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
PV

Stevenage
1 - 1
Port Vale

Reid (69')
Ashby-Hammond (64'), Reid (80'), Piergianni (81'), Wildin (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ojo (76' pen.)
Loft (78'), Ikpeazu (81'), Lowe (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Port Vale

Although Stevenage will be prioritising their promotion push, we still think that they have the quality and belief required to get the better of their opponents, who have lost three of their last five competitive games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawPort Vale
49.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.45%25.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.09% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.91% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)69.49% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.89%
    Port Vale 25.66%
    Draw 24.45%
StevenageDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 5-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, November 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 4-3 Tranmere
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup


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