SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Stevenage |
41.06% ( 0.43) | 28.02% ( 0.31) | 30.93% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.98% ( -1.29) | 59.02% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.51% ( -1.01) | 79.49% ( 1.01) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.75% ( -0.37) | 28.25% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.04% ( -0.47) | 63.96% ( 0.48) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -1.21) | 34.72% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.55% ( -1.3) | 71.45% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.92% |
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