SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Wrexham |
36.51% ( 0.49) | 25.82% ( 0.09) | 37.67% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.38) | 49.36% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -0.34) | 71.41% ( 0.34) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.1) | 26.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( 0.13) | 61.36% ( -0.13) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0.49) | 25.6% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( -0.68) | 60.48% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.67% |
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