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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
B

Bolton
1 - 1
Barnsley

Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Barnsley

We anticipate a close encounter between two sides full of quality on Saturday but give a slight edge to the hosts, who have more momentum on their side and their sights set on taking top spot in the coming weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
48.86% (-2.189 -2.19) 22.78% (0.354 0.35) 28.35% (1.826 1.83)
Both teams to score 62.3% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (-0.266 -0.27)38.25% (0.259 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (-0.282 -0.28)60.53% (0.274 0.27)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)15.95% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (-1.598 -1.6)45.23% (1.592 1.59)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (1.123 1.12)25.87% (-1.131 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (1.497 1.5)60.85% (-1.506 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 48.86%
    Barnsley 28.35%
    Draw 22.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.95% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.218 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.318 0.32)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.238 0.24)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.138 0.14)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Bolton (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 1-4 Bolton
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Bolton
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Wigan
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Barnsley
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One


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