Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
48.86% ( -2.19) | 22.78% ( 0.35) | 28.35% ( 1.83) |
Both teams to score 62.3% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% ( -0.27) | 38.25% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -0.28) | 60.53% ( 0.27) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.86) | 15.95% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.76% ( -1.6) | 45.23% ( 1.59) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.12% ( 1.12) | 25.87% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.14% ( 1.5) | 60.85% ( -1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.7% Total : 48.86% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.37% Total : 28.35% |
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