Exeter's success at Bristol Rovers can only have lifted spirits ahead of another away fixture, yet they are facing one of the form teams in the division. A competitive encounter may play out, yet we cannot back against Barnsley running out victors come the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
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