SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
51.29% ( -0.19) | 24.37% ( 0.07) | 24.34% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.33% ( -0.2) | 48.66% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.18) | 70.78% ( 0.18) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( -0.15) | 18.97% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.25) | 50.5% ( 0.25) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( -0.01) | 34.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( -0.01) | 71.14% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.34% |
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