SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
68.87% ( -0.4) | 17.78% ( 0.19) | 13.35% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.37) | 36.32% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.55% ( -0.41) | 58.45% ( 0.41) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( -0.19) | 9.56% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.99% ( -0.45) | 32.01% ( 0.46) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( 0.08) | 39.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% ( 0.07) | 76% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.28% Total : 68.87% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.78% | 1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.35% |
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