Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
