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League One | Gameweek 27
Feb 1, 2022 at 8pm UK
Reebok Stadium
CU

Bolton
2 - 0
Cambridge

Bakayoko (39'), Afolayan (70')
Williams (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitov (42')

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Cambridge United

With both sides enjoying fine runs of form, Tuesday's clash could certainly go either way, and we think home advantage may be enough to swing it in the direction of the Trotters. Following a 6-0 thrashing of the league's third-placed side, the confidence of Evatt's men will be sky-high, and we back them to make it four wins on the bounce, albeit with a tough fight throughout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
60.4%21.61%18%
Both teams to score 52.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33%44.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96%67.04%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65%14.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79%42.21%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.53%38.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.78%75.23%
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 60.38%
    Cambridge United 18%
    Draw 21.6%
Bolton WanderersDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.43%
4-0 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-2 @ 1.49%
5-0 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 60.38%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.52%
2-2 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.27%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.56%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 18%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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