Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
