Northampton have gone nine games without registering multiple goals and have to go back to September for the last time they scored more than once in a League One away match, two harbingers of doom for their midweek trip to Bolton.
Nolan's men should not be torn to shreds defensively, but if a morale-boosted Bolton can find their way through - which they almost certainly will - we cannot envisage the goal-shy visitors responding.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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