SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
49.27% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.93% ( 0.21) | 45.07% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.58% ( 0.2) | 67.42% ( -0.2) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.06) | 18.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( 0.1) | 49.52% ( -0.1) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.18) | 30.55% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( 0.21) | 66.78% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 26.74% |
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