SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.82% ( -0.27) | 26.25% ( 0.1) | 35.93% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.74% ( -0.4) | 51.25% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.91% ( -0.35) | 73.09% ( 0.35) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.34) | 26.4% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( -0.45) | 61.55% ( 0.45) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.09) | 27.48% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% ( -0.12) | 62.98% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.93% |
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