Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.