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League One | Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK
The Energy Check County Ground
BR

Swindon
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Pitman (76')
Donohue (38'), Grounds (62'), Odimayo (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nicholson (81')
Coverage of the League One clash between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
41.72%27.04%31.23%
Both teams to score 49.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67%55.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46%76.54%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77%61.23%
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44%32.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.09%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 41.72%
    Bristol Rovers 31.24%
    Draw 27.03%
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.52%
2-2 @ 4.82%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 31.24%


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