SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 41.72% | 27.04% | 31.23% |
| Both teams to score 49.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% | 55.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.54% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.77% | 61.23% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% | 32.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.9% | 69.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.72% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.63% Total : 31.24% |
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