Gillingham
2 - 3
Exeter

Oliver (21'), Samuel (80')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Law (29'), Randall (35', 40')
Atangana (33'), Sparkes (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Gillingham and Exeter City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
27.11%	25.51%	47.38%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.79%

51.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95%

73.05%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.5%

33.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.87%

70.14%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38%

21.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.27%

54.73%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 27.11%

Exeter City 47.38%

Draw 25.5%

Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 7.92% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.33% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.85% 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.11%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 4.34% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.36% Total : 47.38%