Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.