Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
