Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
