Burton Albion should have some much-needed confidence from their return to winning ways on Tuesday, but they face a tough test against a Rotherham United side who finally appear to be making their quality count.
Growing in momentum under Evans, we back the Millers to leave the Pirelli Stadium with three more points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
