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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
BA

Birmingham
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Stansfield (26' pen.), Crocombe (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Godwin-Malife (45+1'), Crocombe (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-0 Burton Albion

With a sold-out St Andrew's crowd expecting a routine win, Birmingham should be more than capable of breezing past the attentions of Burton. The Brewers are likely to enjoy just a slither of the ball in the Second City and could be overwhelmed by the occasion as they battle the title favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 73.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 10.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.78%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
73.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 16.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 10.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.35% (0.577 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (0.563 0.56)38.31% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (0.596 0.6)60.59% (-0.598 -0.6)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95% (0.13200000000001 0.13)9.05% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (0.31999999999999 0.32)30.79% (-0.322 -0.32)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.26% (0.554 0.55)45.74% (-0.555 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.48% (0.429 0.43)81.52% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 73.27%
    Burton Albion 10.29%
    Draw 16.43%
Birmingham CityDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.05 0.05)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.27%
1-1 @ 7.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16.43%
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Birmingham
Monday, December 23 at 8.15pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Burton Albion
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tamworth (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in FA Cup


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