SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
39.95% ( 0.09) | 26.66% ( 0.4) | 33.39% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( -1.72) | 53.29% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( -1.48) | 74.85% ( 1.49) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.74) | 26.17% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -1) | 61.25% ( 1.01) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -1.16) | 30.06% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( -1.42) | 66.19% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.94% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.52)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.39% |
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