After a run of difficult results away from home, Cambridge are being backed to return to winnings ways this weekend and continue with their fine form on home soil in League One.
Accrington have had two good results on the bounce, but they have not won on the road since the end of November, albeit they have played the majority of their matches on home soil since then, still suggesting that the advantage is with the hosts this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
