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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
BR

Cambridge
1 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Smith (5')
Seddon (41'), Digby (48'), Lankester (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coburn (21'), Sinclair (29')
Connolly (12'), Loft (14'), Coutts (56'), Marquis (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cambridge United 0-3 Bristol Rovers

Cambridge United might be able to boast the home advantage this weekend, but that does not mean that they will be the favourites heading into this match. The visitors have been in good form throughout the season, and their attacking quality should be enough to get the job done on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
35.53% (0.175 0.18) 26.22% (0.18 0.18) 38.25% (-0.349 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (-0.74 -0.74)51.17% (0.746 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (-0.652 -0.65)73.02% (0.658 0.66)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (-0.246 -0.25)27.68% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (-0.32 -0.32)63.24% (0.326 0.33)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.533 -0.53)26.12% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82% (-0.722 -0.72)61.18% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 35.53%
    Bristol Rovers 38.25%
    Draw 26.21%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.53%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.23% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Cambridge
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Cambridge
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Shrewsbury
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-4 West Ham
Tuesday, December 6 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-4 Exeter
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One


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