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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
PV

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Port Vale

Collins (87')
Coutts (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Politic (63'), Butterworth (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale

With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair. However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
42.4% (0.571 0.57) 25.75% (-0.148 -0.15) 31.84% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.322 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (0.48699999999999 0.49)49.94% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (0.434 0.43)71.93% (-0.43299999999999 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (0.498 0.5)23.4% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.716 0.72)57.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.4% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 42.4%
    Port Vale 31.84%
    Draw 25.75%
Bristol RoversDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.52% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.88% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.75%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Port Vale
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Exeter
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 2-2 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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