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League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
EC

Bristol Rovers
3 - 4
Exeter

Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Collins (25')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Diabate (40'), Caprice (45'), Brown (59'), Sparkes (68'), Collins (72'), Nombe (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Exeter City

Both teams enjoy playing on the front foot, so it would be a surprise if either team managed a clean sheet at Memorial Stadium on Thursday evening. However, Bristol Rovers are undoubtedly in better form at present, with Barton hoping to claim his side's fourth win in six league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
48.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 25.05% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.43% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.99% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)49.81% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.07 0.07)71.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)20.55% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)53.07% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (0.075000000000003 0.08)33.3% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (0.082999999999998 0.08)69.91% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 48.51%
    Exeter City 26.43%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 11.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 26.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Boreham Wood
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Exeter
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One


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