SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
32.53% ( 0.03) | 26.1% ( -0.09) | 41.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.39) | 51.18% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.34) | 73.02% ( -0.34) |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( 0.21) | 29.57% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.4% ( 0.26) | 65.6% ( -0.26) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( 0.21) | 24.46% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.1% ( 0.29) | 58.9% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambridge United | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.53% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 41.37% |
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