Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
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