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League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
B

Charlton
1 - 0
Barnsley

Gillesphey (12')
Edwards (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Lincoln
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Barnsley

Both sides have hit their strides in the League One playoff race, albeit with weekend victories having not been convincing for either. We anticipate a tight contest between two teams boasting plenty of quality and would not be surprised to see the points shared, with the Addicks boasting a strong home record and only Birmingham City topping the visitors' tally of 31 points on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlton Athletic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Charlton Athletic.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBarnsley
50.81% (-0.31 -0.31) 24.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 24.2% (0.357 0.36)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.527 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.50700000000001 0.51)51.31% (-0.508 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.443 0.44)73.13% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.8% (0.072999999999993 0.07)20.19% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.49% (0.118 0.12)52.5% (-0.118 -0.12)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.604 0.6)36% (-0.604 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.611 0.61)72.78% (-0.613 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 50.81%
    Barnsley 24.2%
    Draw 24.98%
Charlton AthleticDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 11.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.43% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Charlton
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-3 Lincoln
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 8 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One


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