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League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
CA

Barnsley
3 - 1
Charlton

Benson (10'), Norwood (54'), Cole (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Payne (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Charlton Athletic

Barnsley have been far more impressive on their travels of late, something which will not be lost on a Charlton side who are used to claiming draws. That said, we have to back Duff's side to prevail, potentially by the odd goal in three in what should prove to be a competitive contest at Oakwell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawCharlton Athletic
49.31% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 25.68% (-0.182 -0.18) 25.02% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.81% (0.617 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.63% (0.767 0.77)53.37% (-0.764 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.646 0.65)74.91% (-0.64200000000001 -0.64)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.36199999999999 0.36)21.67% (-0.359 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (0.547 0.55)54.81% (-0.542 -0.54)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (0.499 0.5)36.41% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.8% (0.5 0.5)73.2% (-0.495 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.3%
    Charlton Athletic 25.02%
    Draw 25.68%
BarnsleyDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Gillingham
Wednesday, August 31 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, August 23 at 7pm in EFL Cup


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